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Fewer homes going to auction: how rising vendor discounts give first home buyers more negotiating power

The national share of listings going to auction has fallen from almost 45% to just over 30% since late 2025, while vendor discounts have risen to around 3.6%. Here is what the shift toward private treaty sales means if you're negotiating your first purchase.

UP
Unpack Property
27 July 20265 min read

Fewer Australian homes are going under the hammer this winter. The national share of listings taken to auction has fallen from a peak of almost 45% in November 2025 to just over 30% in June 2026, according to the latest monthly auction and housing data. At the same time, vendor discounting has crept higher, with the median gap between a property's first asking price and its eventual sale price rising to around 3.6% across the combined capital cities. Together, these two numbers point to the same story: sellers have less confidence in a competitive auction result, and buyers who know how to read the shift can use it to their advantage.

On this page (4 sections)

What is actually changing at the point of sale

Auctions work best for vendors when demand is strong and buyers are willing to compete openly on price. As clearance rates have softened through 2026, more sellers and their agents are choosing a private treaty campaign instead, where a property is listed with an asking price and offers are negotiated privately rather than in front of a crowd. Private treaty sales can still move quickly, but they hand buyers something an auction rarely allows: room to negotiate on price, settlement terms, and conditions such as a building and pest inspection or finance clause.

Rising vendor discounting is the other half of the picture. When a higher share of properties sell for noticeably less than their original asking price, it usually signals that sellers are adjusting expectations to match a cooler market rather than holding out for the result they might have achieved a year earlier.

Why sellers are moving away from the auction stage

A run of interest rate rises through 2026, tighter borrowing capacity, and cost-of-living pressure have all weighed on how many buyers turn up ready to bid. A handful of factors are driving the shift:

  • Fewer active bidders per listing: softer buyer demand means agents are less confident an auction will produce genuine competition on the day.
  • Withdrawal risk: a property that fails to sell under the hammer can carry a stigma when it is relisted, so some vendors prefer to avoid that outcome entirely.
  • More listings on the market: with buyers able to choose between a wider pool of properties, sellers are competing harder for attention and are more open to negotiation.

What this means for first home buyers

A market with fewer auctions and more room to negotiate is, on balance, a friendlier one for buyers who are prepared. It does not remove the affordability challenge many first home buyers still face, but it does shift some leverage back toward the buyer's side of the table. A property that a year ago might have sold well above its asking price under competitive bidding may now be genuinely negotiable.

  • Get finance pre-approval sorted before you start making offers, so you can move confidently and quickly when a private treaty negotiation opens up.
  • Do not assume the advertised price is fixed. In a market where the median discount is running close to 3.6%, there may be room to negotiate, particularly on properties that have been listed for a while.
  • Keep your contract conditions (finance, building and pest inspection) in the negotiation rather than waiving them under pressure. Private treaty sales generally give buyers more time and more scope to include these protections than an unconditional auction bid does.

Run the numbers

Before you make an offer, it helps to know exactly what you can afford and what buying will actually cost once all the extras are included. These tools can help:

  • Am I Ready to Buy? - a quick check on whether your deposit, income, and expenses put you in a strong negotiating position right now.
  • Borrowing Power Calculator - estimate how much a lender may be willing to offer you, so you know your ceiling before you start negotiating on price.
  • True Cost Calculator - see the full picture beyond the sale price, including stamp duty, loan fees, and other upfront costs, so any discount you negotiate is measured against your real total spend.
This article is general information only. It does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking independent financial advice before making financial decisions. See our disclaimer for full details.

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